Win Phone to outgrow smartmobe market for next four years

Between now and 2019 we'll make one mobe for just about every human on Earth


Abacus-wielder IDC has issued a new set of prognostications about the mobile phone market, predicting that 1.447 billion of them will ship this year.

That's a lovely number, but its lower than the firm has previously predicted. The lower figure – and growth of 11.3 per cent instead of 11.8 per cent – can be attributed to China's saturated market. Indeed, the firm reckons China will drag down Android's market share, slowing it to an 8.5 per cent advance this year.

The analyst sees upside for Apple, as fanbois who held onto old kit while they waited for larger-screened iPhones enter a new buying cycle.

The biggest winner between now and 2019, the firm predicts, is Microsoft. Redmond can expect to just-about double annual handset shipments and crack the 100-million-a-year mark, even if that makes for a mere 5.4 per cent market share.

Here's the tale of the tape:

Worldwide Smartphone Forecast by OS, Shipments, Market Share, Growth and 5-Year CAGR (units in millions)

OS

2015* Shipment Volumes

2015* Market Share

2015* Year-Over-Year Growth

2019* Shipment Volumes

2019* Market Share

2019* Year-Over-Year Growth

5-Year CAGR

Android

1,149.3

79.4%

8.5%

1,524.1

79.0%

5.0%

7.5%

iOS

237.0

16.4%

23.0%

274.5

14.2%

3.0%

7.3%

Windows Phone

46.8

3.2%

34.1%

103.5

5.4%

13.6%

24.3%

Others

14.2

1.0%

3.9%

26.3

1.4%

7.5%

14.0%

TOTAL

1,447.3

100.0%

11.3%

1,928.4

100.0%

5.1%

8.2%

Source: IDC Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker, May 26, 2015.

While growth in smartphone sales is slowing, pause to consider the sheer volume of shipments because humanity will make more than 120 million phones each month in 2015, or about four million every day. Between now and 2019, the end of IDC's forecast period, we'll have just about made one for every human alive. ®

Similar topics


Other stories you might like

  • It's primed and full of fuel, the James Webb Space Telescope is ready to be packed up prior to launch

    Fingers crossed the telescope will finally take to space on 22 December

    Engineers have finished pumping the James Webb Space Telescope with fuel, and are now preparing to carefully place the folded instrument inside the top of a rocket, expected to blast off later this month.

    “Propellant tanks were filled separately with 79.5 [liters] of dinitrogen tetroxide oxidiser and 159 [liters of] hydrazine,” the European Space Agency confirmed on Monday. “Oxidiser improves the burn efficiency of the hydrazine fuel.” The fuelling process took ten days and finished on 3 December.

    All eyes are on the JWST as it enters the last leg of its journey to space; astronomers have been waiting for this moment since development for the world’s largest space telescope began in 1996.

    Continue reading
  • China to upgrade mainstream RISC-V chips every six months

    Home-baked silicon is the way forward

    China is gut punching Moore's Law and the roughly one-year cadence for major chip releases adopted by the Intel, AMD, Nvidia and others.

    The government-backed Chinese Academy of Sciences, which is developing open-source RISC-V performance processor, says it will release major design upgrades every six months. CAS is hoping that the accelerated release of chip designs will build up momentum and support for its open-source project.

    RISC-V is based on an open-source instruction architecture, and is royalty free, meaning companies can adopt designs without paying licensing fees.

    Continue reading
  • The SEC is investigating whistleblower claims that Tesla was reckless as its solar panels go up in smoke

    Tens of thousands of homeowners and hundreds of businesses were at risk, lawsuit claims

    The Securities and Exchange Commission has launched an investigation into whether Tesla failed to tell investors and customers about the fire risks of its faulty solar panels.

    Whistleblower and ex-employee, Steven Henkes, accused the company of flouting safety issues in a complaint with the SEC in 2019. He filed a freedom of information request to regulators and asked to see records relating to the case in September, earlier this year. An SEC official declined to hand over documents, and confirmed its probe into the company is still in progress.

    “We have confirmed with Division of Enforcement staff that the investigation from which you seek records is still active and ongoing," a letter from the SEC said in a reply to Henkes’ request, according to Reuters. Active SEC complaints and investigations are typically confidential. “The SEC does not comment on the existence or nonexistence of a possible investigation,” a spokesperson from the regulatory agency told The Register.

    Continue reading

Biting the hand that feeds IT © 1998–2021