US willing to compromise with Nvidia over AI chip sales to China

Jensen would rather not play Whac-a-Mole with Huang over every new GPU

The Biden administration has taken a special interest in Nvidia's sale of accelerators to China and is now working with the chipmaker to establish which chips the Middle Kingdom is permitted to acquire.

In an interview with Reuters, commerce secretary Gina Raimondo emphasized that Nvidia could and should sell GPUs in China, as most AI applications using them would be commercial in nature.

"What we cannot allow them to ship is the most sophisticated, highest processing power AI chips, which would enable China to train their frontier models," she told the newswire. She added that that, based on talks with CEO Jensen Huang, it's "crystal clear" Nvidia wants to play by the rules.

The accelerator champ confirmed that it is talking to the Commerce Department regarding export restrictions. "We are working with the US government and, following the government's clear rules, are working to offer compliant datacenter solutions to customers worldwide," an Nvidia spokesperson told The Register.

The US government has grown increasingly concerned about the potential use of AI models in military applications. In October, the Biden administration introduced tougher performance limits on GPUs and AI accelerators sold to the Middle Kingdom. Those rules meant that even Nvidia’s A800 and H800 GPUs, which were developed specifically to comply with the previous round of restrictions from 2022, were no longer allowed to reach China.

Nvidia, which is by far the largest supplier of accelerators used in AI applications, was among the hardest hit by the administration’s October 2023 changes. Shortly after the rules were made public, it published an SEC filing warning investors that a large portion of its datacenter lineup was likely to exceed the new performance caps.

The rules hadn't even gone into effect when Nvidia was preemptively ordered by the government to cease all remaining shipments of affected GPUs.

In response, Nvidia reportedly plans to introduce a trio of GPUs that limbo right under the performance caps. However, more recently we've learned that the most powerful of those machines, the H20, has been delayed until next year.

Raimondo has made it clear she isn't a fan of chipmakers who test the limits of export bans. "I'm telling you, if you redesign a chip around a particular cutline that enables them to do AI, I am going to control it the very next day," she warned with clear reference to Nvidia during fireside chat [18:45] at the Reagan National Defense Forum last week.

This puts Nvidia and other chipmakers like Intel and AMD – both of which have expressed interest in building export compliant chips for the Chinese market – in an interesting position. If they fly too close to limits, they risk the Commerce Department's wrath. Yet China is also too large a market to ignore as they pursue their goal of enhancing shareholder value. ®

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